1989. The transition to democracy was an outcome of successful political popular-business pact, but mistaken ideoloiges originated in old nationalism and left populism, and on conservative clientelism, opportunism, social conservatism, monetarism, crude liberalism, and subordinated internationalism represent an obstacle to democratic consolidation and growth in Brazil. Portuguese version available.
(Paper in book edited by Diane Ethier)
ACADEMIC PAPERS
1989. The transition to democracy was an outcome of successful political popular-business pact, but mistaken ideologies originated in old left populism, and on conservative clientelism (pork barrel), opportunism, social conservatism, monetarism, crude liberalism, and subordinated internationalism represent an obstacle to democratic consolidation and growth in Brazil. (Paper: Estudos Avançados). English version available.
1989. While monetarists emphasize expectation, the strucuturalist theory of inertial inflation privileges distributive conflict. When prices are being increased in a staggered or indexed way, economic agents cannot change their expectatives: they have to increase prices just to keep their share in income. PUC's Rio de Janeiro group, that participate in the formulation of the theory, are falling in a monetarist trap when they privilege expectations instead of distributive conflict. (Introductory paper in book edited by José Marcio Rego)
1989. Inertial inflation is accelerating in Brazil and threatening to turn into hyperinflation. An explanation of why inertial inflation is rigid is is to be reduced, but tends to increase as distributive conflict increases. (Paper in book edited by José Marcio Rego)
1988. A critique of Caio Prado Jr.'s application of the concept of mercantilist capitalism to Brazil after 1930; and also a critique of mercantilist (patrimonial) practices in the Sarney administration. (Paper in book edited by Maria Angela D'Incao)
1989. The Brazilian crisis in the 1980s as a debt and a fiscal crisis. A summary of the negotiations. The solution of the debt crisis requires that creditors accept the seccuritization of the debt with a discount. Portuguese version available. (Paper in book edited by Christine Bogdanowicz-Bindert).
1989. There is a perverse logic in the Brazilian macroeconomic system involving foreign debt, fiscal deficit and inertial inflation. Portuguese version available.(Paper in book edited by Fukuchi and Kagami).
1988. A comparisson between the Cruzado Plan (1986) and the Bresser Plan (1987. English version available.(Paper: Revista de Economia Política).
1988. A comparison between the Cruzado Plan (1986) and the Bresser Plan (1987). Portuguese version available.(Paper in Pamela Falk's edited book, 1990)
1988. Intervention on the U.S. Congressional Summit held in Vienna, September 4, 1988. Portuguese version available.
1988. Economic policy should follow the rationality principle, but ideological constraints in the right and the left, and the limitations of economic theory make such rationality problematic. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política)
1988. The country will only be able to resume growth if it combines fiscal adjustment with a substantial reduction of the the foreign debt, which should be unilateral, given the lack of dispostion of creditor to negotiate the securitization that I previously proposed. Versão inglesa ligeiramente reduzida em Christine Bogdanowicz-Bindert, org., Solving the Global Debt Crisis, New York: Harper & Row, 1989, com o título "A Debtor's Approach to the Debt Crisis" . (Paper in my edited book Dívida Externa: Crise e Soluções)
1987. Investment used to be financed by the state. Yet, given the fiscal crisis of the state, the private sector is supposed to play a more active role. First paper where I discuss the fiscal crisis of the state. English version available.(Paper: Revista de Economia Política)
1987. Interest expenditures and real state expenditures have different consequences on aggregate demand. Thus a contry may have a public deficit whose origin are the interests paid consistent with insufficient demand and unemployment. This was what occurred in the Brazilian economy in 1985. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política)*
1987. Investment used to be financed by the state. Yet, given the fiscal crisis of the state, the private sector is supposed to play a more active role. First paper where I discuss the fiscal crisis of the state. Portuguese version available(Paper)
1986. The tendency of the growth of the state discussed. (Chapter 7 of Lucro, Acumulação e Crise)
1986. Paper written a four months after the Cruzado Plan was lauched to control inertial inflation. The two main dangers the plan was facing were relative prices desiquilibria left by the plan and an increasing budget deficit. "Inflação inercial e choque heterodoxo in Brazil" written with Y.Nakano is a similar work. English version available.(Paper: Revista de Economia Política)
1987. Paper written a four months after the Cruzado Plan was lauched to control inertial inflation. The two main dangers the plan was facing were relative prices desiquilibria left by the plan and an increasing budget deficit. Portuguese version available.(Paper: World Development)
1986. Paper written a four months after the Cruzado Plan was lauched to control inertial inflation. The two main dangers the plan was facing were relative prices desiquilibria left by the plan and an increasing budget deficit. (Paper in book edited by José Marcio Rego)
1986. This is the translation of the first part of the book Lucro, Acumulação e Crise [Profit Accumulation and Crisis] (1986) São Paulo: Editora Brasiliense.