Juros altos são herança maldita do Plano Real

  • autor: Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira
2024. Economista que comandou a Fazenda comemora sucesso da moeda, mas critica mercado pela captura do patrimônio público (Entrevista a Douglas Gravas)
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Financiamento da Covid-19, inflação e restrição fiscal

2020. Many rich countries are financing the huge Covid-19 expenditures by monetary emission. Brazil should have done the same. Portuguese version available. (Paper: Brazilian journal of Political Economy) English version available

Um mestre da economia brasileira: Ignácio Rangel revisitado

2013. Com José Marcio Rego. Este texto reproduz trabalho publicado um ano antes da morte de Ignácio Rangel (1993), com pequenas correções e a substituição da parte referente ao ciclo longo e à dualidade básica pela revisita realizada por Bresser-Pereira aos dois problemas.

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A descoberta da inflação inercial

2009. The history of the discovery of inertial inflation. The role played by the São Paulo (FGV) and the Rio (PUC) groups. (Paper: Revista de Economia Contemporânea)

Inflation targeting in Brazil: A Keynesian approach

2007. With Cleomar Gomes. The paper claimsthat inflation targeting policy was adopted in Brazil before the interest rate trap was faced and solved. This was a mistake because inflation targeting is good to manage monetary policy, not to change the monetary regime as it was in 1999 and still is necessary in Brazil. (Paper in edited book). Portuguese version available.

O regime de metas de inflação no Brasil e a armadilha da taxa de juros/taxa de câmbio

  • autor: Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira e Cleomar Gomes

2009. With Cleomar Gomes. The paper claims that inflation targeting policy was adopted in Brazil before the interest rate trap was faced and solved. This was a mistake because inflation targeting is good to manage monetary policy, not to change the monetary regime as it was in 1999 and is still necessary in Brazil. (Paper in edited book). English version available.

 

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Entrevista sobre o Plano Bresser (Estado, 01.06.07)

2007. The Bresser Plan was an emergencial attempt to control inertial inflation in a moment of deep crisis, just after the collapse of the Cruzado Plan. Interview: O Estado de S.Paulo).

Macroeconomia Pós-Plano Real: As Relações Básicas

2005. The perverse macroeconomic model of the Brazilian economy combining high interest rate and low exchange rate with growth with foreign savings and quasi-stagnation. (In edited book, Novo Desenvolvimentismo)*

Incompetência e confidence building por trás de 20 anos de quase estagnação da América Latina

2001. My first paper after leaving the Cardoso administration in June 1999. Incompetence and subordination to the North characterized Latin American economic policies since the early 1980s'. English version available. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política) *

A economia e a política do Plano Real

1994. The logic and the intellectual background of the Plano Real, and a collection of articles published in the press between May 1993 and June 1994 on the successful stabilization plan. (Note: Revista de Economia Política) *

The failure to stabilise

1993. Brazil's failure to achieve price stabilization is essentially a consequence of the incompetence of authorities (and IMF) in acknowledging the inertial character of inflation and the lack of political support for fiscal adjustment. (Lecture in London)

Estabilização em um ambiente adverso: a experiência brasileira de 1987

1993. The Plano Bresser was a 1987 atempt to stabilize prices in Brazil in an adverse environment. English version available. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política).

Stabilization in an adverse environment: The 1987 Brazilian experience

1993. The Bresser Plan - an atempt to stabilize prices in Brazil in an adverse environment. Portuguese version available. (Paper in book edited by John Williamson)

Um mestre da economia brasileira: Ignácio Rangel

1992. With José Marcio Rego. Ignácio Rangel is an highly orginal anaylist of the Brazilian macroeconomy and of its development. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política)

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Contra a Corrente: A Experiência no Ministério da Fazenda

1992. Revised version of the testimony to IUPERJ on the author's experience as Finance Minister in Brazil: the major crisis, the "Bresser Plan", and the negotiation of the foreign debt. Non revised version available in French. (In Revista Brasileira de Ciências Sociais")

Heterodoxia e ortodoxia no Plano Bresser

1993. Economic heterodoxy should not be confused with economic populism. The Bresser-Plan was both heterodox and orthodox. (Conjuntura Econômica")

1992 - A Estabilização Necessária

1992. An analysis of the disastrous IMF sponsored 1992 stabilisation plan with Marcilio Marques Moreira as finance minister. The alternative required policies. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política)*

O décimo-primeiro plano de estabilização

1992. The 1991 IMF sponsored stabilisation plan (the 11th plan since 1979) with Marcilio Marques Moreira as finance minister will fail because it ignores the inertial character of inflation in Brazil. The size of the fiscal and foreign debt and the lack of support of society for a severe adjustment are additional causes. (Paper in book edite by Reis Velloso)

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O Décimo Primeiro Plano (Folha, 26.12.91)

1991. The Marcilio Plan being signed with IMF will fail because it ignores the inertial character of the Brazilian inflation. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo)

A lógica perversa da estagnação: dívida, déficit e inflação no Brasil

1991. There is a perverse logic in the Brazilian macroeconomic system involving foreign debt, fiscal deficit and inertial inflation. English version available. (Paper: Revista Brasileira de Economia)