El nuevo modelo brasileño de desarrollo

1974. The "new development model" begins in Brazil in the late 1960s, and later I called "modelo de subdesenvolvimento industrializado". Contrarily to what Celso Furtado predicted, income concetration benefiting the middle classes was behind the resumption of growth as it made aggregate demand consistent with the production of luxury consumption goods by multinationals. Portuguese and English versions available. This paper elaborates on the 1970 article, "Dividir ou multiplicar: A distribuição da renda e a recuperação da economia brasileira".(Paper: Revista Dados)
(Paper: Desarrollo Economico)

O novo modelo brasileiro de desenvolvimento

1973. The "new development model" begins in Brazil in the late 1960s, and later I called "modelo de subdesenvolvimento industrializado". Contrarily to what Celso Furtado predicted, income concetration benefiting the middle classes was behind the resumption of growth as it made aggregate demand consistent with the production of luxury consumption goods by multinationals. Spanish and English versions available. This paper elaborates on the 1970 article, "Dividir ou multiplicar: A distribuição da renda e a recuperação da economia brasileira". (Paper: Revista Dados)

The post-1966 expansion and the new model

1970. It corresponds to "Dividir ou multiplicar?" (1970). It claims that the Brazilian "economic miracle" (1968-1973) signaled a new, export oriented, model of development that made consistent aggregate demand and supply of luxury goods by concentrating income from the middle class upwards. (Chapter 7 of Development and Crisis in Brazil: 1930-1983)

Dividir ou multiplicar? A distribuição da renda e a recuperação da economia brasileira

1970. My first analysis of the "new development model" that begins in Brazil in the late 1960s. Contrarily to what Furtado predicted, income concetration benefiting the middle classes was behind the resumption of growth as it made aggregate demand consistent with the production of luxury consumption goods by multinationals. "O novo modelo de desenvolvimento" (1973) elaborates on this paper. (Paper: Visão)

A decisão de investir, os lucros e os juros

1970. Adopting a classical perspective, this paper argues that variations in the expected profit rate and the corresponding shifts of the marginal efficiency of capital curve are more important in explaining investments than variations in the interest rate. I further developed this analysis in "Acumulação de capital, lucros e juros". (Paper: Texto para Discussão)

Elasticidade-lucro das vendas

1970. The reduction of the profit margin will only compensate if sales increase more than proportionally. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas).

A revolução estudantil

1968. The student revolution will transform the capitalist society. It is a middle class, intellectual and utopian revolution. (Essay in Tecnoburocracia e Contestação)

Da macroeconomia clássica à macroeconomia Keynesiana

1968 [1976]. A critique of microeconomics, and an analysis of the transition from classical to Keynesian macroeconomics.(Apostila FGV/SP, 42 pages)

Political development, and the crisis of the populist alliance

1968. ISEB's political model based on the aliance of the national bourgeoisie with the workers and the bureaucrats was correct. Yet, historical new facts led to the collapse of the populist and national-developmentalist pact and to the political crisis of 1961-64. (Chapter 4 of Development and Crisis in Brazil).

The concept of development

1968. Development defined as involving a Industrial and a National Revolution. (Chapter 1 of Development and Crisis in Brazil,1968)

A teoria econômica e os países subdesenvolvidos

1967. General economic theory does not apply to underdeveloped countries. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)

Modelo de desenvolvimento econômico a dois setores

1967. An adaptation of Singer's model to middle income countries. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)

O administrador profissional e as perspectivas da sociedade brasileira

1966. Given the existence of a large middle classe, democracy's restoration is inevitable. In this process, Brazilian industrial entrepreneurs must associate themselves with the new business managers that are emerging and develop a national development strategy that should be democratic and socially progressive. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)

Origens étnicas e sociais do empresário paulista

1964. My 1962 research demonstrated that the Paulista industrialists that led the Brazilian industrialization were, mostly, descendants of middle class immigrants, not from coffee planters. English version available only in this site. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)

Brazil: ethnic and social origins of the industrial entrepreneurs

1964. My 1962 research demonstrated that the Paulista industrialists that led the Brazilian industrialization were, mostly, descendants of middle class immigrants, not from coffee planters. ( Published Portuguese version available. (Paper: this English version only published here)

Inflação e lucros da empresa (A correção monetária de balanços)

1964. With Sylvio Luiz Bresser-Pereira. The indexation or monetary correction of financial statements. A proposal. See also 1976 article. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)

Problemas da agricultura brasileira e suas causas

1964. An large picture of the Brazilian agriculture in the early 1960s.(Paper: Journal of Inter-American Studies)