Macroeconomia Pós-Plano Real: As Relações Básicas

2005. The perverse macroeconomic model of the Brazilian economy combining high interest rate and low exchange rate with growth with foreign savings and quasi-stagnation. (In edited book, Novo Desenvolvimentismo)*

Uma agenda nacional

2004. What should be the national agenda, as it was discussed in the 1o. Fórum de Economia da Fundação Getúlio Vargas". (Note: Conjuntura Econômica)

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Juros, as ameaças e a oportunidade (Folha, 25.10.04)

2004. The high basic interest rate (Selic) is today the basic obstacle to a true macroeconomic stabilization. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).

Brazil's quasi-stagnation and the growth cum foreign savings strategy

2004. The critique of the growth cum foreign savings strategy adopted in the Cardoso administration. Foreign finance does not cause growth. Spanish version available. (Paper: International Journal of Political Economy)*

La Politique Macroéconomique Brésilienne (1994-2003) et le Second Consensus de Washington

2004. The growth cum foreign savings strategy and the consequent exchange rate evaluation is the basic cause behind Cardoso administration's poor economic performance. Translation of "O Segundo Consenso de Washington e a Quase-estagnação do Brasil". (Paper: Problèmes d'Amérique Latine)*

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O salto da poupança interna (Folha, 11.10.04)

2004. Between 1998 and 2003 foreign savings fell 5% and domestic savings increased correspondingly, financed by a reduction in real wages (brought by exchange rate depreciation) and a diminution of the budget deficit. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo)

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Falta de reformas? (Folha, 27.09.04)

2004. Institutional reforms are required but are not the central priority in Brazil. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo)

Método y pasión en Celso Furtado

2004. The method that Celso Furtado utilizes is essentially historical his passion - a measured passion - is Brazil. A survey of Furtado's work. Portuguese and English versions available. (Paper: Revista de La CEPAL)*

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Objetivos possíveis (Folha, 30.08.04)

2004. Main economic objectives for Brazil and their viability. First regular column (every 14 days) in FSP-Dinheiro. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).

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O risco de depender de commodities (Gazeta Mercantil, 17.08.04)

2004. The risk involved in exporting commodites is to have the exchange rate basically determined by their costs - what may turn inviable to export manufactured goods with high added value. (Interview to Gazeta Mercantil)

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Chutando a Escada (Folha, 04.07.04)

2004. Policies recommended by Washington are rather a reaction to the threat represented by the new industrial countries than a genuine contribution to their economic growth. Survey of the book of Ha-Joon Chang. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo)

Reforma da gestão e avanço social em uma economia semi-estagnada

2004. Since 1980 Brazil's economic growth has been frustrating, bust social and political development was real, as the 1995 Public Management Reform demonstrates. (Paper: Revista de Administração Pública)*

The Second Washington Consensus and Latin Americas Quasi-Stagnation

  • autor: Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira e Carmen Varela

2004. With Carmen Varela. Latin Americas quasi-stagnation in the 1990s can be explained principally by the growth cum foreign savings strategy. (Paper: Journal of Post Keynesian Economics)

Proposta de desenvolvimento para o Brasil

2004. Summarized view of what is needed for Brazil achieve macroeconomic stability and resume growth. (Testimony to the Brazilian Câmara dos Deputados, published in Revista de Economia Política, October 2004)

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Desrazões do desastre (Folha, 21.03.04)

2004. Between 1980 and 1994 Brazil adjusted and reformed its economy. Since then a perverse macroeconomic policy kept the economy semi-stagnant. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo, Mais!)

Economia política do gasto social no Brasil desde 1980/85

2004. While income per capita increased 8.5% in 20 years, social expenditures, 43.4%. Given the improvement in social standards this demonstrates that social expenditures are effective. (Note: Revista Econômica)*

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E a vontade política? (Folha, 09.01.04)

2004. The East and South East countries show that there is an alternative to the conventional orthodoxy which perpetuates macroeconomic instability in Brazil. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo)

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O Lobo e o Cordeiro (Valor, 17.12.03)

2003. Conventional orthodoxy allways finds a new argument to keep the basic interest rate high. (Article: Valor Econômico,)

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Índices de risco retóricos não correspondem aos utilizados (Valor, 26.11.03)

2003. Country risk: the ideological and the relevant rates. A comparison with Russia.(Article in Valor Econômico, 26.11.2003).

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O Medo Venceu a Esperança? (Folha, 09.11.03)

2003 Fear is again defeating hope: Brazilians' diminished aspirations. (Article in Folha de S.Paulo, 9.11.2003)